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Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
13%
$22.9M
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
7%
$13.5M
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
2%
$10.3M
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
34%
$8.2M
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
17%
$6.5M
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
13%
$22.9M
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
7%
$13.5M
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
2%
$10.3M
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
34%
$8.2M
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
17%
$6.5M

OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus.

Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
72,186
Markets
Data refreshed 2 hr ago
7,426 questions
Consensus 2+
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
27%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
9%
Jon Ossoff
6%
politics44 candidates +41 more$1029.2M+$6.0M/24h
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
Spain
16%
France
15%
England
11%
sports48 candidates +45 more$576.9M+$20.9M/24h
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
42%
Marco Rubio
22%
Tucker Carlson
4%
politics35 candidates +32 more$545.3M+$2.5M/24h
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
23%
Gavin Newsom
20%
Marco Rubio
14%
politics47 candidates +44 more$517.0M+$2.7M/24h
2026 NBA Champion
Oklahoma City Thunder
40%
San Antonio Spurs
17%
Denver Nuggets
10%
sports20 candidates +17 more$215.3M+$3.3M/24h
2026 F1 Drivers Champion
George Russell
44%
Kimi Antonelli
30%
Charles Leclerc
7%
sports22 candidates +19 more$95.4M+$1.9M/24h
Eurovision Winner 2026
Finland
42%
France
15%
Denmark
15%
geopolitics41 candidates +38 more$80.3M+$1.3M/24h
FED Decision In April
Fed maintains rate
99%
there
98%
Cut 25bps
4%
other8 candidates +5 more$73.8M+$2.1M/24h
UEFA Champions League Winner
Bayern Munich
30%
Arsenal
26%
PSG
20%
sports8 candidates +5 more$57.1M+$919K/24h
2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion
Colorado Avalanche
20%
Tampa Bay Lightning
15%
Carolina Hurricanes
12%
sports22 candidates +19 more$53.9M+$426K/24h
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro
40%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
40%
Renan Santos
7%
politics15 candidates +12 more$48.1M+$1.5M/24h
Venezuela Leader End Of 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
62%
Nicolás Maduro
18%
María Corina Machado
14%
politics13 candidates +10 more$43.8M+$36K/24h
The Masters Winner 2026
Rory McIlroy
36%
Cameron Young
28%
Sam Burns
12%
sports16 candidates +13 more$41.3M+$4.9M/24h
Next French Presidential Election
Édouard Philippe
22%
Jordan Bardella
20%
Marine Le Pen
8%
politics36 candidates +33 more$36.8M+$758K/24h
English Premier League Winner
Arsenal
68%
Manchester City
30%
Manchester United
0%
sports3 candidates $35.5M+$582K/24h
La Liga Winner
Barcelona
97%
Real Madrid
2%
Villarreal
0%
sports3 candidates $31.0M+$252K/24h
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
10%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
10%
geopoliticsPolymarket$29.4M
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
3%
— 0pp
Polymarket
3%
geopoliticsPolymarket$28.6M
What Price Will Bitcoin Hit Before 2027
Bitcoin reach $80,000 by Dec
78%
Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by De
64%
Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by De
52%
crypto27 candidates +24 more$27.8M+$134K/24h
Who Will Be Confirmed As FED Chair
Kevin Warsh
95%
Judy Shelton
1%
Michelle Bowman
1%
politics9 candidates +6 more$26.8M+$670K/24h
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